Latest Figures: GDP Growth Rate, 4th Quarter 2020 (flash estimate)
According to the Flash Estimate compiled by the Statistical Service, the GDP growth rate in real terms during the fourth quarter of 2020 is negative and it is estimated at -4,5% over the corresponding quarter of 2019. Based on seasonally and working day adjusted data, GDP growth rate in real terms is estimated at -4,5%.
The negative GDP growth rate is mainly attributed to the sectors: "Hotels and Restaurants", "Manufacturing", " Transport, Storage and Communication", "Wholesale and Retail Trade, Repair of Motor Vehicles", «Arts, Entertainment and Recreation", "Other Service Activities".
The implementation of precautionary measures and relevant decrees to address the negative consequences of COVID-19 disease had a direct impact on the Cyprus Economy which exhibited a slowdown during the first quarter of 2020 and a substantial decrease during the second quarter of 2020. The preventive measures applied concerned, amongst others, the restriction of citizen movements and the temporary closure of enterprises of certain economic activities leading to a significant decrease of the 2nd quarter. The lifting of the restrictive measures has led to the improvement of the economic growth rate of the third quarter compared to the second quarter 2020. During the fourth quarter the preventing measures were re-introduced initially at local level (Limassol and Paphos) and eventually at national level by December.
EXCEPTIONAL METHODOLOGICAL ADJUSTMENT
Due to this unprecedented situation, the Statistical Service had to make some imputations for the short-term indicators used. These imputations were based on information collected from sources other than those used for the usual production of the GDP Estimate (such as the weekly credit cards transactions and the preliminary results of the Labour Force Survey). As the problems anticipated were common to all members of the European Union, they were tackled by applying the same methodologies under the supervision and the guidance of European Statistical Office (Eurostat).
GDP GROWTH RATE (Flash Estimate)
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